Voting results in my precinct
I have lived in Precinct 0200 of Harris County since summer 2000, and I was surprised by the voting shift between the November 2000 election and the November 2004 one:
2000 2004 PRESIDENT Republican 51.1% 46.2% Democratic 42.7 52.6 Naderite 5.5 0.4 Libertarian 0.1 0.7 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES Democratic 50.3% 48.1% Republican 46.2 47.5 Libertarian 3.5 2.1
(The precinct boundaries were the same in each election.)
I had been under the impression that the precinct was trending Republican, so the 15-point swing in margin to the Democrats in the presidential race surprises me. Have I been misreading what all the new townhouses mean?
And then compare the 15-point Democratic swing in the Presidential race to the 3-point Republican swing in the House race, which puzzles me even more. Precinct 0200 has moved from Sheila Jackson-Lee's district to John Culberson's district. Jackson-Lee is not well-liked, and I would have thought that a lot of people who hadn't voted Democratic before because of her would start.
Can any of y'all help me understand what's going on?